Problem 1071

Given p=\begin{bmatrix}  0.5 &0.5 \\  0.9&0.1  \end{bmatrix}

and the initial-state matrix So = \begin{bmatrix}  1 &0  \\     \end{bmatrix}

Find S1 for the given initial-state matrix So and explain what it represents.

 

Solution:-

 

Recall that S1 is the proportion of the population that is in each state after 1 trial. To calculate S1, multiply the initial state matrix, S0, by the transition matrix,  P.

S1 = S0P

= \begin{bmatrix}  1 &0  \end{bmatrix}\cdot \begin{bmatrix}  0.5 &0.5 \\  0.9&0.1  \end{bmatrix}

Now use matrix multiplication to calculate S1.

S1 = \begin{bmatrix}  1 &0  \end{bmatrix}\cdot \begin{bmatrix}  0.5 &0.5 \\  0.9&0.1  \end{bmatrix}

= \begin{bmatrix}  (1\cdot 0.5)+(0\cdot 0.9)) &(1\cdot 0.5)+(0\cdot 0.1)  \end{bmatrix}

Simplify each entry in the first state matrix to finish calculating S1.

S1 = \begin{bmatrix}  1 &0  \end{bmatrix}\cdot \begin{bmatrix}  0.5 &0.5 \\  0.9&0.1  \end{bmatrix}

= \begin{bmatrix}  (1\cdot 0.5)+(0\cdot 0.9)) &(1\cdot 0.5)+(0\cdot 0.1)  \end{bmatrix}

=  \begin{bmatrix}  0.5 &0.5  \end{bmatrix}

Therefore S1 is   \begin{bmatrix}  0.5 &0.5  \end{bmatrix}.

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